Good morning and welcome. This Philadelphia
location continues our practice of bringing this meeting to
different cities of importance to UTC and shareowners. A little
less than 10 million shares, almost a billion dollars worth,
are held in the Philadelphia area.
UTC also has a longtime commercial
presence in Philadelphia. Centrifugal chillers #3, 4 and 5
sold by Carrier Corporation in 1923 to Whitman & Sons Candy
Company in this city, and Otis was a proud exhibitor at the
Centennial Exposition in Philadelphia in 1876.
Carrier today provides air conditioning
at both Villanova University and the University of Pennsylvania,
at manufacturing locations for Merck and for Boeing, and at
Corestates Center, home of the Flyers and 76ers.
We were also as pleased as can be
when Mayor Rendell declared Jan. 28, 1997, as Carrier Corporation
Day in this city, in conjunction with the opening of the ASHRAE
industry show here and in honor of the 75th anniversary of
Willis Carrier’s invention of the centrifugal chiller.
This is also Otis territory. Otis
has supplied the elevators for eleven of the fifteen largest
commercial construction projects here since 1979. We find
Otis equipment at 1 Liberty Place, Philadelphia’s tallest
building, in another six of the city’s ten tallest buildings,
and of course inside this Four Seasons hotel.
We had another year of excellent
results in 1997, our fifth in a row. Earnings per share increased
21%, and return on equity reached 24.5%, the highest in decades.
But, based on stock price performance, total returns to shareholders
did lag the S&P 400, as they did for our peers too. The S&P
400 was up 29%, and our peers and we were up 10% and 12%,
respectively.
The lag for us happened in the second
half of the year, with stock market concerns over two issues:
Asia and a potential top in the aerospace cycle. But we saw
this as a clear buying opportunity for our stock, accelerating
repurchase in the fourth quarter to 4.2 million shares for
$309 million (average price $74.46).
With Asia concerns having subsided
somewhat, and seeing our fourth quarter ‘97 and first quarter
‘98 results confirm our ability to perform even in the face
of Asia adversity, we have way outperformed indices in 1998:
up 33% for UTC, while peers are up 15% and the S&P up 14%.
Longer term, UTC stock price appreciation
since 1994 has likewise outperformed benchmarks: 212% for
UTC, as compared with 123% for peers and 136% for the S&P;
and I am confident in your company’s abilities to continue
to generate these above benchmark returns.
Shareholders should especially recognize
Pratt & Whitney’s outstanding performance last year. Operating
profits at Pratt jumped 28% and are now more than five times
higher than in 1992.
The team led by Karl Krapek, president
of Pratt & Whitney and a candidate today for reelection as
a director of UTC, is remaking Pratt into a world class organization,
and to their credit Karl and his team have now set new performance
targets that are higher still.
Operating income rose to nearly $2.2
billion, and reached 8.8% of total revenues. Steady gains
in this operating income to revenues ratio, continued in 1997,
are at the heart of and the driver for our recent, excellent
returns to shareholders.
But while we note these operating
income gains, we remind ourselves every day that we are still
below the average operating income to sales performance of
our peers. We have every reason to expect to be well above
average and keeping this fact in front of us is why we face
our futures with great confidence.
We should note especially available
cash flow performance. This is cash left over after every
UTC expenditure, including dividends. We generated $1.3 billion
in available cash flow last year, our third consecutive year
above $1 billion.
Available cash flow for us is high
absolutely and also relative to net income. On this relative
measure, we can also rank ourselves against peers, and show
here best in class and by a wide margin.
Using the cash, share repurchases
accelerated to $849 million last year, and acquisitions increased
to $642 million. We expect both of these uses to exceed $500
million each for the foreseeable future, evidenced by Hamilton
Standard’s first quarter acquisition of Ratier-Figeac, a French
aerospace systems manufacturer, and by the repurchase of another
million shares of UTC stock, also in the first quarter.
The board of directors last increased
dividends on our common stock, by 13%, in February 1997, 15
months ago. I am delighted to report that your board just
this morning voted another 16% boost to the dividend. The
new dividend, effective in June, will be $0.36 per share per
quarter, five cents higher than the prior rate and 64% higher
than it was in 1994.
We released our first quarter results
last week. Earnings per share of $1.04 were slightly ahead
of Wall Street’s expectations, notwithstanding restructuring
charges at Otis and Carrier and adverse foreign currency translations,
which collectively more than offset a one time gain in settling
a contract dispute with our Government.
The current Wall Street consensus
is for UTC to earn about $4.90 this year and $5.62 next. This
consensus for 1998 is 16% above 1997s actual earnings per
share, and the 1999 consensus is another 15% increased. Management
is comfortable with these expectations.
There were some business achievements
during 1997 warranting mention today.
Especially of note:
Pratt & Whitney acquisitions of overhaul
and repair businesses that will increase service revenues
to $1 billion in 1998, tripling such revenues in five years.
Carrier acquisitions in commercial
refrigeration that have now built one of the six largest companies
in this $12 billion global industry.
Otis’ $49 million contract for additional
equipment for the Singapore mass transit system, part of $1
billion in new equipment sales for Otis in Asia. Otis ended
1997 with an Asian order book that was larger than that of
the rest of the world combined.
UT Automotive’s improved results
with operating profit margin increases, continuing to date
in 1998.
Sikorsky’s new Comanche aircraft,
for the US Army, is hitting its demanding specifications remarkably
well, including flight at speeds of 170 knots forward, 75
knots sideways and 70 knots backward. The first S-92, a larger
commercial helicopter, is in final assembly in Connecticut
now and flies later in the year.
And Hamilton Standard won environmental
control systems for the extended range Boeing 767-400, giving
Hamilton exclusive placements on all Boeing widebody aircraft.
More generally across the corporation,
we reduced the incidence of lost time injuries by another
19% worldwide. We also cut the amount of hazardous waste we
produce in the US by 23%. Taking a longer term perspective,
we have reduced badness on these two measures by the remarkable
amounts of 82% and 83%, respectively, since the 1988 base
year.
Also across UTC, I’m exceptionally
proud of our Employee Scholar Program, which has nearly tripled
to 16% the portion of our US work force enrolled in higher
education. This augmented program began only 2½ years ago;
it provides incentives to encourage employee enrollment: prepayment
of tuition and other costs; no restrictions on fields of study;
up to three paid hours/week away from work for study; and,
most significantly, 100 shares of UTC common stock (worth
today just a little under $10,000) on degree attainment.
We awarded 82,000 shares of stock
to graduates in 1997, and with the extension of the program
internationally and continuing US enrollment gains, that number
will likely double in the next two years.
A few comments on our future, and
why we face this with confidence.
Our most important effort to strengthen
performance over the next several years will be in supply
management. Looking back over the last five years, what has
so steadily improved our results has been our process re-engineering
(or kaizen) efforts. But here we have been working on our
own costs (our own value added), which is about 40% of our
revenues.
Now we are going after an even larger
portion of our costs, purchases totalling over $14 billion
out of our revenues of $25 billion. The techniques are classic:
concentration of the vendor population, partnering with these
continuing vendors and more tightly integrating their activities
with ours, and requiring their own process re-engineering
and quality assurance programs, mirroring ours which have
been so successful.
The results will be powerful. We
have announced $750 million in cumulative annual and recurring
savings by the year 2000, and $200 million this year alone,
and we expect now to exceed those targets comfortably.
A second reason for confidence is
our expanding global presence. We have 57% of our sales outside
the United States, and 60% of our employees, high proportions
indeed and built up over decades with care and attention and
overcoming no small obstacles on which many others have stumbled.
And while we suffered from Wall Street’s
anxiety in the wake of Asia’s crisis last summer and fall,
I would not trade our global positions with our peer companies
for one instant.
Recall the Otis figures cited earlier:
$1 billion in new equipment orders in Asia in 1997 alone,
and a backlog in Asia that’s larger than the rest of the world
combined. But Asia’s $7 billion elevator market is on its
way to $18 billion in twenty years, a size that will be more
than triple Europe’s market and six times larger than North
and South America combined.
Carrier faces the same: a $15 billion
air conditioning market in Asia now that rises to more than
$50 billion by 2018, 60% of the world’s total.
And over that same time airline revenue
passenger miles in Asia will grow from 422 billion to 1.7
trillion, or three times the current North American level.
We are restructuring in Asia in the
short term, working to protect profit margins in tough environments.
Specifically, we expect UTC’s Asian revenues to fall by 15%
to a little over $4 billion in 1998, remain flat in 1999,
and begin to rise again in 2000. Remember also that we have
been growing in Asia for years in the 20% per annum range,
until this present and almost assuredly short term interruption.
In the meantime I confirm, as others
have noted, that this is a significant buying opportunity
for mergers and acquisitions in Asia.
The third reason for optimism is
harder to measure, but equally important: your company is
ever more confident of its performance, quarter by quarter,
year by year.
Our results in 1997: record return
on equity, huge cash flow and increasing profitability against
the headwinds of Asia, adverse foreign exchange, cool summers
in the US and Europe, strikes at major automotive customers
and in one of our own plants, and restructuring charges at
Otis.
If you had asked our management group
even a few years ago, few would have anticipated that we could
increase earnings at double digit rates and so easily against
these obstacles.
And yet poll that same group today,
and you will find them excited and confident about making
today’s records fall by the wayside, and decisively so, in
the years to come, adversity or no.
We have demonstrated -- to ourselves
and to investors -- that we can and do eliminate costs, do
develop better products and manufacture these at ever higher
levels of quality, making UTC continuously a more competitive
enterprise both absolutely and relative to peers, and that’s
how we assure returns to you, our shareholders.
Thank you.